![]() ![]() In Hawaii, both Honolulu and Hilo are likely to be elevated. The FSM stations (Chuuk, Pohnpei) and RMI’s stations are likely to remain in higher than normal state. In Hawaii, both Honolulu and Hilo are likely to be elevated. Other than Palau, PEAC-CCA Statistical model is predicting slightly above-normal sea level to the north of Pacific islands ( Yap, and Chuuk). PEAC-CCA Other FSM stations (Chuuk, Pohnpei) and RMI’s stations are likely to remain in higher than normal state. So, -5 inches has been adjusted (shown in parenthesis to the current tide-gauge values of Pago Pago. * In Pago Pago, There was a level shift (approximately 5 inches) in American Samoa at the time of September 2009 earthquake. *** (Experimental) Satellite Aviso Altimetry data, ** Data currently unavailable Figures in parenthesis ( ) for monthly-max anomaly indicates difference between the maximum anomaly for the given month and the long-term monthly average anomaly.ġ: Difference between the mean sea level for the given month and the 1983 through 2001 monthly mean sea level value at each station (seasonal cycle removed) 2: Same as 1 except for maxima SD stands for standard deviations. Also note that changes within the range of (+/-) 2 inches are unlikely to cause any adverse climatic impact. Note that any changes between (0~ ☑) inch is considered to be negligible. +/- indicate positive anomaly (rise) and negative anomaly (fall) respectively. (i) Seasonal Sea Level Outlook DJF 2019/2020īased on the independent SST values observed in the SON 2019 season, the resulting CCA model has been used to forecast the sea-level for the DJF 2019 season (see Table 1). Note that 'anomalies' are defined as 'deviations or departures from the normal' using 1983-2001 mean sea level values computed at each station. Also, note that the forecasting technique used here does not account for sea level anomalies created by other atmospheric or geological conditions such as tropical cyclones, storm surges or tsunamis. See Figure 2 at right for location of USAPI tide guage stations. The following sections describe: (i) the Canonical Correlation Analysis (CCA)-based forecasts for the seasonal MEAN and MAXIMUM sea level anomaly in the DJF season of 2019/2020, and (ii) the monthly sea level anomaly observed in the previous season, September- October- November (SON) of 2019-2020. November- December- January (DJF) 2019-2020 ![]() ![]() Please visit University of Hawaii Sea Level Center for additional information: ( PEAC Services will no longer provide an official Sea Level Outlook as of January 2020) ![]()
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